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The outbreak clues flowing beneath our cities

Wastewater can reveal infectious disease threats before people fall ill or seek care. Through ADWANCE-Asia, Duke-NUS is helping countries across the region turn those hidden signals into earlier, smarter public health action  

By Ashley Tsai, Senior Research Associate, Duke-NUS Centre for Outbreak Preparedness

Wastewater surveillance experts from Asia and beyond gather at Kuala Lumpur , to launch ADWANCE-Asia: Advancing Wastewater & Environmental Surveillance for Public Health Impact in Asia // Credit: Duke-NUS Centre for Outbreak Preparedness

Every day, a stream of public health data flows beneath our feet.  

Inside the wastewater travelling through our cities are traces of viruses and bacteria shed by entire communities. By collecting and analysing those traces, scientists can detect infectious disease threats, track how they are spreading, and spot signs of an outbreak before clinical testing catches up. 

This is the promise of wastewater surveillance: turning something routinely discarded into an early-warning system for public health.  

Turning hidden signals into early warnings 

The approach has already demonstrated its value. During the COVID-19 pandemic, wastewater surveillance offered early warning signs of rising infections and transmission hotspots and helped monitor the emergence of new viral variants, sometimes days or weeks before clinical testing would catch up. It has also played an important role in polio eradication efforts by detecting silent transmission in communities where no symptomatic cases had been reported.  

Wastewater sampling in Pakistan
Conducting wastewater sampling in Islamabad // Credit: Alice Chia

Wastewater surveillance can also capture signals from people without clinical signs and symptoms, including those who are ill but do not seek medical care. This gives public health authorities a broader view of what may be circulating within a population. 

Combined with increasingly advanced genomics tools, wastewater surveillance can provide a timely snapshot of which infectious disease threats are circulating in a community. Targeted next-generation sequencing (tNGS) allows researchers to identify genetic sequences belonging to specific viruses or bacteria with high sensitivity, while metagenomics paints a broader picture by analysing all genetic material within a wastewater sample without requiring scientists to know in advance what they are looking for. 

Together, these techniques enable scientists to detect a wide range of pathogens in wastewater, from familiar infectious diseases to newly emerging threats.  


Bridging the gap 

But turning this promise into practice is not simple. Not all regions have the infrastructure needed to collect and process wastewater samples, and interpreting complex data presents technical challenges. Some pathogens may not be shed in quantities high enough to be detected reliably, while expertise, funding, and resources remain unevenly distributed.  

Ethical and privacy concerns must also be managed carefully, especially when surveillance focuses on smaller communities or risks associating particular groups with disease. 

To address these gaps, the Duke-NUS Medical School Centre for Outbreak Preparedness (COP) was recently awarded a €2 million (SG$2.9 million) grant through the European Union’s EU4Health programme, managed by the European Health and Digital Executive Agency (HaDEA) on behalf of the Health Emergency Preparedness and Response Authority (DG HERA), to launch ADWANCE-Asia: Advancing Wastewater & Environmental Surveillance for Public Health Impact in Asia.  

The three-year project is designed to help countries across the region address some of these challenges and realise the potential of wastewater surveillance for public health. 

Working with regional and international organisations, including GLOWACON, the global consortium for wastewater and environmental surveillance, ADWANCE-Asia will focus on four key pillars: 

  • strengthening regional coordination and fostering cross-border information sharing;  
  • building laboratory, genomics, and bioinformatics expertise;
  • supporting low- and middle-income countries to pilot and scale multi-pathogen surveillance;
  • and developing practical tools, frameworks, and guidance to help national governments integrate wastewater surveillance into their public health strategies. 

The goal is not simply to generate more data. It is to ensure that the information collected can support timely and appropriate public health decisions. 


Building a regional network 

The project officially launched with a kick-off meeting in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in June, bringing together representatives from DG HERA, HaDEA, and COP, as well as wastewater surveillance experts from Asia and beyond. International speakers from the World Health Organisation, European Union, and Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) shared global perspectives, advances, and lessons learned.  

Sessions explored how wastewater surveillance could be integrated into national public health systems, how multi-pathogen wastewater surveillance assays could be validated, and what would be required to build laboratory and analytical capacity.  

Case studies from India, Pakistan, and the Philippines were examined to institutionalise wastewater surveillance and expand existing systems to monitor multiple pathogens. Experts from Australia, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand also shared their experiences, underscoring the value of regional learning and collaboration.  

The second day focused on practical questions, including how wastewater surveillance data could be translated into public health action and how appropriate costing frameworks and toolkits could be developed for Asia. These themes will be explored further as ADWANCE-Asia progresses 

The discussions also created opportunities to forge new partnerships and exchange ideas, reflecting the collaboration required to build sustainable wastewater surveillance systems beyond any single outbreak. 

"Wastewater surveillance isn't just about preparedness anymore. It is a real-time response tool,” said Laurent Muschel, Deputy Head of DG HERA.  

“What excites me most is the regional approach: embedding wastewater surveillance systems into national preparedness and surveillance plans so they become part of routine public health infrastructure rather than stand-alone projects.”  

Professor Chan Yoke Fun, Department of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine at the University of Malaya, said this regional momentum could help Malaysia expand its existing SARS-CoV-2 and polio surveillance into a sustainable, multi-pathogen national system. 

“It is inspiring to see like-minded scientists come together to learn from one another and share their experiences,” she said. “Ultimately, our shared mission is to transform our science into actionable signals for public health decision-making.”  

Adwance Asia with Vincent Pang
Asst Prof Pang Junxiong Vincent presenting an overview of the ADWANCE-Asia project at the kick-off meeting // Credit: Duke-NUS Centre for Outbreak Preparedness


Assistant Professor Pang Junxiong Vincent, Wastewater Surveillance and ADWANCE-Asia Lead at COP, said regional and global partnerships will be essential. 

“We are grateful for this collaborative partnership with the European Union to strengthen coordination with global and regional partners, including the World Health Organisation,” he said.  

“Together, we aim to expand technical capacity for wastewater surveillance and empower country partners to build sustainable investment cases for multi-pathogen wastewater surveillance.” 

That emphasis on sustainability matters. Wastewater surveillance attracted substantial interest during the COVID-19 pandemic, but systems created for a single emergency can be difficult to maintain once the immediate crisis passes. 

Embedding the approach within routine public health infrastructure could allow countries to monitor several infectious disease threats using the same networks, laboratories, and analytical capabilities. Over time, this could provide a more resilient and cost-effective foundation for outbreak preparedness and response. 

 
Staying ahead of the next threat 

No surveillance system can predict every outbreak or eliminate all uncertainty. Wastewater data must still be interpreted alongside clinical information, laboratory testing, and other public health intelligence. 

Its strength lies in offering an early signal before the full picture is visible. 

As ADWANCE-Asia develops, its success will depend on scientists, policymakers, funders, and communities working together to determine not only what can be detected, but what information is useful and how it should guide action. 

The next infectious disease threats may already be circulating silently within a population. By learning to read the signals flowing beneath our cities, public health systems may be able to see it sooner and respond before those early warnings become a crisis.

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